Bookmakers are always searching for fresh markets that they can provide their clients to differentiate themselves from the other businesses in the industry. Tackle Betting on the total number of tackles is a feature that was introduced only a short time ago.
While many bettors would not have placed bets on tackles in the past, we thought it would be helpful to provide you with a detailed explanation of how the process works and whether or not it is worthwhile to become involved.
What Exactly Is A Tackle?
Before going into how tackle betting works, defining a tackle in this context is necessary. The bookies who provide tackling betting only judge some challenges using their criteria. However, a bookmaker may merely use figures given by Opta, an independent sports analytics business. Because of their precision and the sheer volume of data, they gather become something of the bible for football-related analytics in recent years.
A football tackle betting, according to Opta, is a circumstance in which “a player connects with the ball in a ground challenge and successfully takes the ball away from the man in possession.” There are two major conclusions from this. The first is that tackles can only happen on the ground. A tackle would not be considered if a defender beat the striker in the air from a corner. Second, the attacking player must have control of the ball. If they are only a split second away from catching a throw when a defender swoops in and prods the ball away, this is an interception rather than a tackle.
To be tackled, a player must also “obviously be in possession,” thus, if they do not have it under their control – or look not to – Opta will not count it. The result of the tackle, such as where the ball moves after the tackle, is irrelevant for calculating successful tackles. As a result, even if a defender makes a tackle, but the ball instantly travels to an opposing player, the defender is still credited for the challenge.
What is the average number of tackles in a match?
It may come as a surprise to learn that most players complete relatively few tasks successfully throughout each game, if any. Tackling only accounts for a very small portion of a player’s total game since the number of tackles often only ranges from one to two. Statistics may change based on the league or competition, but most of the time, they remain consistent.
The number of tackles that a team made during the 2021/22 Premier League season was an average of 620, with Leeds making the most and champions Manchester City making the fewest. Leeds finished the season in the first place. This averages 16.3 every game, with just 1.35 for each participant (per 90 minutes).
Yet, certain players focus on getting their foot in the door. Therefore there are always instances of players well over this average level. According to the provided statistics, Wilfred Ndidi was at the top of the list, with an average of 3.2 tackles per 90 minutes in the 2021/22 season. Christian Norgaard followed him with 3.1, John McGinn with 3.0, Yves Bissouma, and Tyrick Mitchell with 2.9.
We recommend giving more weight to the number of tackles made every ninety minutes as opposed to simply totaling up all of the tackles made, as this will allow top tacklers to be recognized even if they have been sidelined for a significant portion of the season due to injury, suspension, or rotation. Similarly, it prevents some players from being elevated merely because they participate in each match or minute.
What Factors Affect Tackling Stats?
You may expect the top defenders to make the most tackles, but this is only sometimes the case. Continuing with the 2021/22 Premier League season, according to the official Premier League website, center defender Virgil Van Dijk made just 16 tackles in 34 games. Similarly, Ruben Dias, considered one of the league’s top defenders, only registered 26 tackles in 29 matches. Hence, despite their image as brick walls, the two were averaging less than one tackle each game in both circumstances.
Many variables contribute to certain highly rated defenders seldom making an appearance. Some of these factors include their team’s playing style, tactical instructions from coaches, time spent in possession, and the defender’s reputation. Man City had the greatest possession figures in the 2021/22 season (Liverpool was second), and it is tough to make a successful tackle when you control the ball for the bulk of the match (based on the above definition). Moreover, when Man City and Liverpool relinquish the ball, they press their opponents aggressively. Under pressure, teams often make a bad pass or walk the ball upfield, allowing the other side to swap control without tackling anybody.
Being the deepest man back on a dominating team also means being able to tackle less since opponents seldom get that far up the field. Even if an opposing forward can rush at the heart of the defense, they will be significantly less inclined to take on a strong defender, preferring to pass or shoot from a distance. An attacker may enjoy their chances against a freshly promoted center-back, but going on Virgil Van Dijk, for example, becomes significantly less enticing.
Finally, more tackling occurs in the middle of the field than at either end of the area. As a result, the players that lead the tackles per season records are usually central midfielders or fullbacks who like to dress up a lot. If you look at the tackling data for the 2021/22 Premier League season, just one center-back (Mohamed Salisu of Southampton) was in the top 30. Even then, the Southampton player spent numerous matches playing as a left-back.
When it comes to betting on individual players, we have been restricted to concentrating on their offensive production, sometimes known as their number of goals and assists, for quite some time now.
There is the opportunity to place a wager on a yellow or red card, but in terms of making a positive contribution, it is all about putting the ball in the back of the net or assisting in placing it in the back of the goal.
As this is a facet of the game that many of us fans appreciate, it is great news that bettors can wager on it, even if it is only available to a select few bookmakers for the time being.
Opportunities may be few right now since so many bookmakers haven’t included them in their offerings, but it will change.
The answer to whether the market offers amazing value or is a gambler’s trap is somewhere in the middle of the two possibilities.
Betting on tackles is undoubtedly a good bet, particularly if you are willing to do a little research before making a bet; nevertheless, this is not something we always aim to use as a betting strategy.